📓 Cabinet of Ideas

The Rise and Fall of Software Developer Jobs

The rise and fall of software developer jobs #

Excerpt #

Demand for software developers has plunged from the boom times of 2021 and 2022.


Data: Indeed via Fred; Chart: Axios Visuals

Demand for software developers has plunged from the boom times of 2021 and 2022.

Why it matters: Even though the labor market remains strong, the supply of higher-paying white-collar jobs (tech, marketing and finance) is pretty meh.

  • These positions, “what we once would’ve called office jobs,” are the weakest spot in the labor market, says Nick Bunker, an economist at Indeed.

Catch up fast: There was a pandemic hiring frenzy for these roles. Workers were fielding multiple calls a day from recruiters and naming their price when it came to salary.

  • Now, companies are slower to hire now and less willing to expand headcount, Bunker says.
  • The decline in demand is likely not an AI thing — the drop-off started before the introduction of ChatGPT.

The big picture: These are still among the best jobs around.

  • Software developer is ranked second on the Labor Department’s list of occupations with the most projected job growth over the next decade or so, coming in after home health aides.
  • And the pay is good. The lowest-paid software developers, located in the Cleveland metro area, earn a median salary of more than $100,000 per year, per a study from ADP last month. The highest paid work in Silicon Valley and earn a median of $163,000.

The bottom line: Good jobs are harder to find.

Go deeper #

Tech feels labor market crunch #

Illustration of a lone keyboard key with a briefcase icon on it.

Illustration: AĂŻda Amer/Axios

Openings for tech jobs like engineer or software developer have spiked as an already tight U.S. job market weathers the economy-wide effects of the pandemic.

The big picture: Tech workers were in high demand pre-pandemic, and the COVID era’s rapid moves to digital further intensified that need.

The job market is slowing down for high-wage earners #

Illustration of a suited hand with its finger pushing down on a cracked briefcase

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

Companies are posting fewer job listings, especially for white-collar roles in software, human resources, and banking and finance, per new data from Indeed.

Why it matters: It’s a sign of how the job market is slowing down a bit for higher wage earners and the professional class.